Frauds. Warren Buffett commented in the recent Berkshire Hathaway AGM 2013 that when he’s reading through financial statements, he’d find companies he was virtually certain are frauds. In response to a shareholder’s question on what did he find that made him so certain, both Buffett and Munger replied that “there isn’t a 40-point checklist” and that value investors need to understand the interaction between the underlying business model dynamics and the people running the enterprise when examining the numbers.
In Asia, with outbreaks of accounting frauds and corporate governance lapse erupting on a systematic basis at the firm level, how does a value investor go about generating sustainable outsized returns? To paraphrase Sherlock Holmes, to murder (to engage in earnings management) is easy, but to dispose the murdered body (to expropriate or tunnel out the cash and assets out of the company) is harder as it is detectable by the serious institutional investor with his or her keen observation of the various information signals and clues.
It would be premature to speak of “fundamental” analysis using possibly rigged accounting numbers due to propping and tunneling to fashion elaborate but “garbage-in-garbage-out” quant valuation models. Even “technical” analysis can be misleading given prices and volumes are often manipulated by the “insiders” (庄家) who establish the stock inventory (老鼠仓), luring investors in and then offloading in a pump-and-dump cycle. Such exploits by insiders is made easy as most stocks in Asia are still relatively small-cap and illiquid, given that the median market cap of the listed universe of 23,000 stocks in Asia is around $80 million and over 80% are under a billion dollar in market cap.
Thus, the use of “fundamental” or “technical” analysis, or its combination - without a Mungerian I-O accounting framework using the Bamboo Innovator way - can lead to a false sense of confidence that clever insiders exploit at your expense.
- Mr Kee Koon Boon, one of the few Asian fund managers being invited to speak at a number of top banking & finance conferences around the world alongside with renowned speakers such as Praveen Kadle, Chief Executive Officer of Tata Capital & Lauren Templeton, President of Lauren Templeton Capital Management
- Learn from an experienced & qualified instructor who has also taught in local Universities
Program Outline and Key Learning Points:
Testimonials from Past Participants :
Thank you sincerely for the lessons you shared with us last Saturday regarding Tipping Point Analysis. Although, I feel 1 day is not enough to learn more from you. :) - Jackson Yeow
Many Thanks Koon Boon for the amazing 1 day talk. For that informing & spellbinding Sat afternoon talk on tipping points, this is a testimony to that was that we all forgot about the morning break. Its a rarity to find financial people that know their stuff & that can easily communicate the information to the audience. - Martin Boon
First of all, thank you for sacrificing your Saturday to teach the class that I benefited greatly. I had read through most of your articles at Beyondproxy.com and Bambooinnovator.com. All are very informative and thought provoking. Thank you once again for being the light and the salt in this highly "corrupted" financial world! - KC Ong
Lecturer is very knowledgeable, highlighting the tell tale signs of companies corporate actions with deteriorating financials. Some excellent "takeaways" on some asian companies with strong competitive advantage and why some companies market cap are stuck e.g. order book companies. - Weng Kit
All your courses are beneficial for investment knowledge & revision. How to apply in practice is another matter and retail investors will never have the privilege news. Mr Kee is the right person to share this type of knowledge. – Freddie Chong
About the Instructor:
Koon Boon is the founder and managing director of the Singapore-based Bamboo Innovator Institute to establish the thought leadership of resilient value creators around the world. KB has been rooted in the principles of value investing for over a decade as a fund manager and analyst in the Asian capital markets. He was a fund manager and head of research/analyst at a Singapore-based investment management organization dedicated to the craft of value investing in Asia. He had been with the firm since 2002 and was also part of the core investment committee in significantly outperforming the index in the 10-year-plus flagship Asian fund. He was previously the portfolio manager for Asia-Pacific equities at Korea’s largest mutual fund company. He received his Masters in Finance (magna cum laude) and double degree in Accountancy and Business Management (both summa cum laude) from the Singapore Management University (SMU). He had taught accounting at his alma mater in SMU and at SIM University. He had published research in the Special Issue of Istanbul Stock Exchange 25th Year Anniversary of the Boğaziçi Journal, Review of Social and Economic Studies, as well as wrote articles about value investing and corporate governance in the media. He had also presented in top banking and finance conferences in Sydney, Cape Town, HK, Beijing and in the recent Emerging Value Summit 2013. He had trained CEOs, entrepreneurs, CFOs, management executives in business strategy, macroeconomic and industry trends in Singapore, HK and China.
DISCLAIMER The information provided is not to be considered as a recommendation to buy certain stocks or currencies or instruments and is provided solely as an educational and information resource to help investors make their own decisions. Past performance is no guarantee of future success. It is vital to note that no system or methodology has ever been developed that can guarantee profits or ensure freedom from losses. No representation or implication is being made that using the attached material will guarantee profits or ensures freedom from losses. FE Asia Consultancy Pte Ltd shall not be liable to the participant for any damages, claims, expenses or losses of any kind (whether direct or indirect) suffered by the participant arising from or in connection with the information obtained from the course or instructor.
FE Asia Consultancy Pte Ltd reserves the right to make amendments to the date, time, venue, trainers, course outline or cancel the course if warranted by circumstances beyond its control..
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